AI Is Rewriting Where MSP Margin Comes From
Randy Hall, CEO

AI's biggest effect on MSP business models isn't lower labor costs. It's a shift in where margin actually comes from, away from technician hours and toward the software and automation layer wrapped around those hours. The 2025 numbers already show MSP profit outgrowing MSP revenue, and how you capture that shift, by building or by licensing, is turning into a real line on your P&L, not a future one.
What's actually changing in an MSP's cost structure?
For most of the industry's history, an MSP's gross margin has been a labor math problem. You price a contract, you staff it with technicians, and your margin is whatever is left after payroll, benefits, and the tools those technicians need to do the work. AI changes which side of that equation grows. Kaseya's 2026 State of the MSP Report found that 53% of MSPs are already using AI to automate ticketing, patching, or monitoring, work that used to sit directly in the labor line of your cost structure.
That automation is landing at the same time technician supply is getting tighter, not looser. The same Kaseya report found that the share of MSPs reporting difficulty hiring skilled technicians nearly doubled in a year, from 9% to 16%. Put those two facts together and the direction is clear: you are not choosing between automation and staffing, automation is becoming the only way to keep serving clients as hiring gets harder. At the same time, client budgets are compressing from the top down. The share of MSPs whose typical customer spends more than $25,000 a year fell to 41%, down from 75% the year before, according to the same Kaseya survey. Thinner contracts and tighter labor supply both push the same direction: toward tools that do more of the work without adding headcount.
Are MSP margins actually moving, or is this still just talk?
They are moving, and the direction favors operators who lean into automation rather than waiting it out. Service Leadership's 2026 Annual IT Solution Provider Industry Profitability Report found that MSP revenue growth rebounded to 9.6% in 2025, up from 7.1% the prior year, while adjusted EBITDA grew even faster, at 17.1%. Profit is compounding faster than revenue, which is exactly what you would expect if automation is cutting cost-to-serve on existing contracts rather than just supporting new sales. Best-in-class IT solution providers extended that pattern further, sustaining 19%-plus adjusted EBITDA for a sixth consecutive year, according to the same Service Leadership report. Value-added resellers saw a similar split, revenue up 8.9% against EBITDA growth of 17.0%, per that report.
| Provider type | 2025 revenue growth | 2025 adjusted EBITDA growth |
|---|---|---|
| MSPs | 9.6% | 17.1% |
| VARs | 8.9% | 17.0% |
The gap between those two columns is the margin story. Revenue is growing at a normal, unremarkable pace. Profit is compounding noticeably faster than that, and the gap between the two is the clearest evidence yet that automation is changing the economics of the business, not just the day-to-day workload. For a CEO setting next year's budget, that gap is the number worth watching more closely than top-line growth, because it tells you whether your margin is actually improving or just riding a good sales year.
Why this is a business-model question, not just an efficiency project
It would be easy to read all of this as an operations story: automate more tickets, cut cost-to-serve, protect margin on existing contracts. That's part of it, but the bigger shift is that AI is becoming a revenue line in its own right, which changes what kind of company you are. GTIA's 2026 State of the Channel research found that 97% of IT service providers already use AI in some form, but only 28% consider themselves an AI-driven organization. That gap, nearly universal adoption against a small minority of operators who have actually built AI into how they sell and deliver, is where the business-model decision lives.
The revenue expectations are catching up fast. The share of MSPs who expect AI to be one of their biggest revenue gainers over the next year rose to 57%, up from 37% the year before, according to Informa's 2026 MSP 501 Survey Insights Report. Nearly a third of MSPs now expect AI-related revenue to grow more than 20% in 2026, per that same survey. Separately, 91% of MSPs now offer or use some form of AI, up from 79% a year earlier, according to the MSP 501 findings. Investment plans line up with that shift. 84% of business and technology professionals expect a significant or moderate increase in AI investment, per CompTIA's IT Industry Outlook 2026. An MSP that treats AI purely as a cost-saving tool is leaving that entire revenue line, and the margin that comes with it, to whoever is willing to sell it.
Should you build your own AI layer or license one?
This is the decision most owners are actually facing right now, and it's a capital allocation question before it's a technology question. Building your own AI tooling means standing up product management, engineering, and ongoing support functions that compete for the same capital and attention as client delivery. Most MSPs are service businesses, not software businesses, and the two have different margin structures, different hiring needs, and different failure modes. A service business lives or dies on utilization and billable hours. A software business lives or dies on retention and the cost of supporting a product at scale, and most MSP leadership teams have never run that second kind of business before.
Licensing a white-labeled AI product under your own brand gets you the same revenue line and the same margin profile without turning your MSP into a software company overnight. You keep the client relationship, you keep the billing, and you keep the brand, while someone else absorbs the engineering risk and the ongoing development cost. The tradeoff is that you don't own the underlying product, so your differentiation has to come from how you package, price, and support it for your specific client base rather than from the technology itself. For most owners weighing where to spend the next year of capital and attention, that tradeoff favors licensing until a specific tool becomes a genuine point of competitive differentiation worth owning outright.
Consider a hypothetical MSP running $4 million in annual revenue with a 50% gross margin, entirely from labor-billed managed services. If that MSP adds a white-labeled AI product line generating $400,000 in revenue at a 75% gross margin, blended gross margin on the business moves from 50% to roughly 52.3%, even though the new line is a tenth of total revenue. That is a rough illustration, not a guarantee, but it shows why a small, high-margin software line can move the whole business's numbers more than an equivalent amount of new labor-billed work.
What happens to the technicians automation displaces?
Automation absorbing routine tickets doesn't mean you need fewer people, it means the people you have need to be doing different work. The hiring-difficulty data above already shows you can't count on growing headcount to keep up with demand, so the realistic path is redeploying the technicians you already have into the higher-margin service lines automation is creating room for. That's a training and certification problem as much as a staffing one, and it's worth building a deliberate plan for it rather than letting it happen by attrition. Forge University is built for exactly that transition, training your existing team to deliver and support higher-margin AI-driven services instead of hiring your way into them.
Where does this leave your own stack decisions?
Start by mapping what you're currently billing as labor that AI tooling could instead let you sell as a product, and what margin each option actually produces once you account for support and delivery cost. Actiforge's stack builder walks through that comparison for your specific service mix, so you're deciding with your own numbers instead of industry averages. The data above points in one direction: the MSPs pulling ahead on margin aren't the ones working harder, they're the ones who changed what they're actually selling.
None of this requires betting the business on a single tool or a single vendor. It requires a clear view of which parts of your stack are costing you technician hours and which parts could be generating licensed, white-labeled revenue instead. See the full stack to compare what's available to resell under your own brand today.
